Late night election drama: Georgia, Missouri, North Carolina, Alaska, and Prop 8
Published by Professor Les November 5th, 2008 in Salt Lake City, Community Dialogue, Politics, Communication, Current Events. Tags: elections and 2008 presidential campaign, georgia and 2008 election, minnesota and 2008 election, missouri and 2008 election, north carolina and 2008 election, Salt Lake City, The Selective Echo.Editor’s Note: This post is current as of 1:45 a.m. MST. There will be a morning update as well.
Obama’s current electoral vote count will likely be increased from the current 349. There are some ridiculously close contests. And, unlike the networks, the Associated Press has not called Georgia either for the presidential race or for the hotly contested Senate seat involving GOP incumbent Saxby Chambliss. The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports:
“With nearly 90 percent of the state’s precincts reporting, McCain had a huge lead: 56 percent to 44 percent for Obama and less than 1 percent for Libertarian Party nominee Bob Barr, the former Georgia congressman. But those figures included fewer results from metro Atlanta and apparently none of the ballots cast in metro Atlanta during massive early and advance voting. More than 600,000 ballots cast before Tuesday in Cobb, Fulton, DeKalb and Gwinnett were to be counted after the live Tuesday votes.”
This could have an impact and swing Georgia’s 15 electoral votes to Obama if these ballots, as predicted, show heavy trending for the president-elect. More importantly, the Georgia senate seat could be the battleground for that important 60th seat in the Democratic majority of the upper chamber in Congress. Chambliss leads but he is just barely over the 50 percent mark. Georgia law mandates a runoff if a candidate fails to get more than 50 percent and there could be a possibility as those additional ballots are counted. The runoff would be scheduled for Dec. 2 and the campaign would be extremely intense. Current totals are below in the summary.
However, the 60th seat issue might be moot if long-term incumbent Ted Stevens holds on in Alaska. He may have benefited from a Palin effect despite his poll numbers crashing after his felony conviction. As noted in the totals below, the race is tight by he leads currently.
And, in Minnesota the battle between incumbent Norm Coleman and challenger Al Franken has been a true dead heat. Franken has pulled ahead but leads by only 424 votes at the time of posting. The independent candidate has really squeezed this race.
Democrats may get, at best, 58 seats in the Senate.
Nationally, Missouri has lived up to what pollsters said would happen. It is too close to call and the lead has been never more than 3,000 the entire night, generally in McCain’s favor.
North Carolina also is too close to call but Obama leads there. AP called Indiana late for Obama, making him the first Democrat to carry that state in 44 years. McCain seems to be solid for Montana’s 3 electoral votes despite a very close night. Again, unofficial numbers below.
Prop 8 appears to be passing as well in California. Throughout the night, the measure has never fallen behind but the margin is close. Exit polling suggests that the measure will pass by an extremely close margin. As mentioned several times in this blog, African-American voters were casting ballots for Obama but indicating that they would support a ban on same-sex marriage. Nearly 7 out of 10 African-Americans surveyed in exit polling indicated as much. Latinos were split. Sentiment on the measure was marked sharply by generational gaps. Those under 30 overwhelmingly indicated that they would vote no on Prop 8, while those 65 and older indicated 57-43 that they would cast ballots for the ban. Prop 8 advertising ballooned in the last month, thanks to the huge infusion of LDS-affiliated money.
Democrats did not have the night they hoped for in Utah’s state races. They managed only a net gain of three seats in the Utah house and none in the state senate. Chris Buttars despite being behind in the early going pulled out a narrow victory.
However, Obama coattails were felt elsewhere. Democrats won a majority in the New York state senate on Tuesday night, putting the party in control of both houses of the New York Legislature and the governor’s office for the first time since the New Deal. And, the entire New England House of Representatives delegation will be filled by Democrats.
LATE NUMBERS:
IN (11 EV): 99% reporting
Obama, 1,352,356 (50%)
McCain, 1,329,370 (49%)
NC (15 EV): 100% reporting
Obama, 2,102,986 (50%)
McCain, 2,089,826 (50%)
MO (11 EV): 99% reporting
Obama, 1,430,589 (49%)
McCain, 1,433,406 (49%)
MT (3 EV): 84% reporting
Obama, 178,107 (46%)
McCain, 193,755 (50%)
CA PROP 8: 61.8% reporting
For: 3,558,333 (52.3%)
Against: 3,244,460 (47.7%)
Minnesota U.S. Senate Race: 96% reporting
Norm Coleman (R, INC.), 1,161,660 (42%)
Al Franken (D), 1,162,084 (42%)
Dean Barkley (IND), 420,232 (15%)
Georgia U.S. Senate Race: 97% reporting
Saxby Chambliss (R, INC), 1,752,767 (50.4%)
Jim Martin (D), 1,604,617 (46.1%)
Allen Buckley (I), 119,581 (3.4%)
Alaska U.S. Senate Race: 72% reporting
Ted Stevens (R, INC), 92,810 (48.4%)
Mark Begich (D), 88,284 (46.1%)

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